Tuesday, July 1, 2008

The market for mobile communication: change places summands

Progress is not in place, and over the past few years, cellular communication has proven already covered more than half the population of Earth. One of the "side effects" has been rapid saturation of the relevant markets. Back in 2000-2001, investment in mobile communication networks were considered possibly the most profitable in the IT-industry. But today the situation variables in a radically. Earnings before that investors are not sufficiently developed in search of "mobile" market picks up the most exotic places in the world.

A good example of such an investor is the millionaire Egyptian Naguib Saviris that owns the majority of shares in Egypt's largest cellular operator Orascom Telecom. Trying to any cost to enter new markets, he even attempted to obtain 25 - year license for cellular communications in North Korea. Subsequently, in an interview Naguib Saviris jokes that his latest business plan born of desperation. Quote: "I wanted to show that no other options. Once a search of demand accounted go to North Korea, cause bad ". In the early stages of development of global mobile communications network in the world clearly dominated by operators and investors from Europe and - to a lesser degree - the United States. But today the situation is that European and North American markets more than saturated. The same, however, as a very lucrative markets of Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, etc. As a result, Western operators, particularly in the global cell dominate the market, now risk being in the second line. As leaders will be only those who promptly launched a program of investing in developing markets. However, about them below. Now more and more weight gain cellular companies - come from third world countries. They usually serve in the role of investors, builders and in the role of infrastructure networks including cellular communications network 3G. Arun Sarin - Director General of the world's largest cellular operator by revenue Vodafone - once told reporters: "Three quarters of all new subscribers, revenue and profits come from developing countries". Indeed, out of ten telecommunications companies with the largest capitalization in the world occurred just two of these countries. This is the Chinese government and China Mobile Latin American Corporation America Movil. Second, by the way, the planet is controlled by the richest man - Mexican mediabaronom Carlos Slim. It is expected that over the next decade companies from Africa, Asia and Latin America Dogonyat on the market value of the current industry leaders.

But let us return to European mobile communications market participants. Experts estimate that to date among Europeans is it good growth prospects that the British Vodafone and Spanish Telefonica - these two companies went on time to conquer emerging markets. During the period of rapid growth Telefonica lot of funds invested in Latin American markets. As a result, the region now provides about a third of revenue and core sales growth Telefonica. In turn, the company Vodafone in 2007 signed a contract on the purchase of $ 10.9 billion for a controlling stake Hutchison Essar - the fourth of the number of subscribers of cellular operator in India. To date, this is the largest of the acquisitions made by Western operators in developing countries. In India, cellular market is growing faster than anywhere else in the world. Not coincidentally same company Nokia not only creates a special budget model specifically for the Indian market, but also opens in this country own assembly production. After all, to India in this case is to add such countries, like Bangladesh, Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, etc. In general, the South Asian market is huge. Phone as long as there is only 21% of local residents, and the number of subscribers a monthly increase of 8 million Thanks to timely investment made by more than half of Vodafone subscribers today occur in developing countries.

But are today the world's largest mobile service provider market - China. This year the Chinese market we will see an ambitious restructuring: Government plans to split into the second part of the number of subscribers of cellular operator country - company China Unicom. China Unicom - the owner of two networks (CDMA standards and GSM), and now they are to be divided between the major Chinese operators of fixed telephony - companies China Telecom and China Netcom. With such a manoeuvre Chinese authorities want to limit the dominance of China Mobile, which now controls 70% of the regional cellular market. Meanwhile, this market is far from saturation: only 40% of Chinese enjoy cellular phones. The situation on the Chinese market is more confused because formally prohibits foreign companies to control Chinese assets. We have to operate indirect means, and here is one result: Vodafone share price in China Mobile (3,3%) since the purchase has grown fourfold. A Telefonica belongs to 7,2% China Netcom, and this year the company plans to increase its share to 10%. In turn, cellular operators from China and other Asian countries do not themselves away to act as investors in the core markets. For example, China Mobile in 2007, Pakistan bought Paktel and is not going to dwell on this. Competition may well be a Chinese Sunil Bharti Mittal, who took fifth line in the list of richest people in India. Controlled them Bharti Airtel - the largest cellular operator of India (57 million subscribers); last year, the company also acquired a license to work in Sri Lanka and has plans of expansion into other Asian markets. Mittal does not hide its plans to build panaziatskuyu telecommunications empire and is ready to fight for it with the Chinese. His call on the markets of Asia and Russia is preparing to say AFK "System", which in 2007 bought a controlling stake in Indian company Shyam Telelink.

As is now said to journalists Alexander Goncharuk, president of "systems", AFK expects to enter the five largest by number of subscribers of cellular holdings world. Such investor interest and desire for redivision of the market naturally led to the assets of cellular communications companies in developing countries in the past two years went sharply. For example, Vodafone bought Hutchison Essar, based on the assessment of Indian companies in the $ 18.8 billion - is 17 times higher than its projected target for 2008 EBITDA. Capitalization of Western European cellular companies rarely exceeds their EBITDA more than 6 times. And the last. According to market experts, a reverse process - Parish "mobile" companies in third world markets in Europe and the U.S. - is hardly possible. For example, in 2006 China Mobile has already tried to buy Luxembourg Millicom (providing cellular communications services in Asia, Africa and Latin America), but failed. In particular, employees of Chinese companies have problems with obtaining visas necessary for the inspection of enterprises in Latin America. I recall that the countries of the region during the cold war were openly antikitayskuyu position, supporting the Government of Taiwan. Thus, hardly even the most powerful cellular companies from China and India in the foreseeable future will be able to step far beyond their regions. Still, to some extent redivision of the market of cellular communication is possible even in the countries of Eastern Europe. This is confirmed in particular transactions, which are involved in Belarusian cellular operators. But this is quite another story.

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IT-sector: time without worries

For the global IT-industry seems to have come quiet period. Indeed, the first quarter of this year proved overly saturated with events, so it is logical that early summer IT-market participants wanted to use for simple relaxation. Either way, but the main news of recent weeks were related to social networks and mobile communication.

One of the world's largest cellular operators British company Vodafone Group published its current financial report. It follows that net profit operator on the basis of 2007-2008 fiscal year (ended March 31) amounted to 8.49 billion euros. Over the same period last year, the company suffered a net loss of 6.04 billion euros. Revenues for the company's 2007-2008 fiscal year increased by 14.1% to 44.58 billion euros against 39.08 billion euros a year earlier. Operating profit amounted to 12.62 billion euros, while in the same period a year earlier the company received operating losses amounting to 1.97 billion euros. The guide Vodafone successful financial performance are linked with the growth of profitability of their operations in emerging markets and stable profitability in Europe. Meanwhile, executive director of Vodafone 53 - year old Arun Sarin announced that the resignation will take at the end of July this year. His successor as head of the company will present Vice 46 - Vittorio Kolao summer. (Reference: Arun Sarin became the head of Vodafone in July 2003 During this period, the company has undergone significant changes, came out on the developing markets of Romania, the Czech Republic, Turkey, as well as India, where Vodafone has acquired a controlling stake in Indian operator Hutchison Essar, and thus , Went to the most rapidly growing telecommunications market in the world.) Today, Vodafone Group is one of the world's largest telecommunications companies. It operates in Europe, the Middle East, Asia, Africa, the Pacific and the USA. The number of subscribers of Vodafone is more than 240 million people.

However, not all mobile operators operate equally successful. Capitalization of the world's largest (by number of subscribers) operator of cellular communications company China Mobile fell by $ 25 billion, following a statement by the Chinese authorities about the intention to restructure the industry to support small operators. Shares in China Mobile fell 7.5%, which was the largest decline in the value of securities operator for the last 6 years. The drop in the value of shares in China Mobile and the impact on the index MSCI Asia Pacific, which fell by 1.7%. China Mobile controls two-thirds of China's cellular market with a population of 1.3 billion people. At the moment, cellular communications in the country enjoys more than 583 million people. China Mobile capitalization exceeds $ 330 billion.

As for the mobile market across the globe, the number of mobile phone users by the end of 2007 reached 3.3 billion people, representing 49% of the population of Earth. Worldwide growth of new subscribers amounted to 22%. In doing so, the majority of new connections were in developing countries. Thus, in the African Region, an increase of 39% in Asia - 28%. Some only China and India are connected over the past year 143 and 154 million subscribers respectively. Against the backdrop of strong growth in mobile connections seem quite minor figures fixed telephony development. The number of subscribers connected in a way the world is less than 20% growth over the past three years amounted to less than 1%.

However, not all mobile markets are developing dynamically equally - some are on the brink of stagnation. For example, U.S. sales of mobile phones in I quarter of this year declined compared with same period last at 22%. Revenue from sales declined by $ 200 million According to analysts, so influenced by two factors: the saturation of the American market (84% of residents enjoy mobile communication), as well as the American economy crisis. Since 2005, when analytical company NPD Group has begun to monitor the market for mobile phones, the number of vehicles sold in the beginning of the year declined for the first time. Now director of NPD Group analyst Ross markets Rabin argues: "Mobile phones have become indispensable in the life of modern man. Meanwhile, taking into account the decline in the economy and not knowing when it will end, the Americans decided to delay the acquisition of new mobile phone ". Saturation, the maturity of the North American market - the second factor that could influence the decline in sales.

Note that news on the reduction of sales of mobile phones will add headache management company Motorola, said in March this year, the division of their business. Despite the loss of positions in the I quarter of this year, it still retained the leadership in the U.S. mobile market, but the company's share declined from 35% to 27%. Shares of Samsung and LG accounted for 18% and 17% respectively - these companies hold strong positions. The world's largest manufacturer of mobile phones Nokia company in the I quarter of 2008 - the first won on the U.S. market share fourth place with 8%. The difficulty in mastering the U.S. market for Nokia is that here the majority of mobile phones sold through carriers. In addition, some interesting Nokia phones either do not come to the U.S., or appear here in a few months after the release in other regions - Europe and Asia. But the situation appears to be changing: Nokia recently opened in California own development center, which plans to create new models of phones designed specifically for the U.S. market.

Meanwhile, Communicator iPhone continues its victorious march on the planet. In early March, the company Apple with its financial partners launched a venture fund iFund, which, with the budget of $ 100 million to support advanced software development platform for the iPhone. However, so far to get money from the fund, only two were able developer.

The first of them - the company Pelago. It creates iPhone-version of its service Whrrl, in which users may specify interesting places to visit (restaurants, cafes, clubs, exhibitions, etc.) and look similar "point of interest" of their friends or simply other people. The money also brings its creators Whrrl through selling advertising. Obtained funding and the company iControl, which undertook to introduce iPhone in the system of "smart homes". Communicator is designed to replace the standard remote control, allowing complete control of lighting, air conditioners, etc. While all this. As recognized in the company Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, who oversees all financial flows iFund, all since March 1700 have been filed more applications, but apart from these two projects are not received any money. True, a dozen applications are under "serious consideration".

Go to the topic of social networks. A representative from Battery Ventures Roger Lee is confident that in the next year or two in the market blogs, social networks and other resources, content of which is generated by users happen reorganization related to their low profitability. He believes that as a result many of them disappear. The partner of Hummer Winblad Venture Fund Kertsman Mitchell believes that often forecasts profitability projects based on the concept of Web 2.0, absolutely not justified. Using the concept of Web 2.0 companies does not bring them considerable profits. In the future this will lead to a reorganization of the market and the extinction of many companies using the technology Web 2.0. However, investors continue to seek projects with high potential profitability allocated to the general masses. As an example of unusual and potentially lucrative projects called mikroblogingovy resource Twitter and the idea of creating a compact applications for placement in social networks.

Google has not been able to stay away from the house hobbies, social networks. One of the first projects of this kind - Orkut, owned by Google - failed to gain enough popularity among users worldwide, so the Internet giant decided to try to develop alternative means of social projects. The company announced the renewal of its functional service iGoogle personalized start page and suggested the possibility to turn the project into the social network with a subscriber base has already finished. However, Google decided not to dwell on this, and more recently the company introduced the service Google Friend Connect. And again - a non-standard solution from Google: the company does not launch social network as its own draft. New from Google allows each owner of a web resource create their own social network. In terms of concept system somewhat resembles previously announced technology DataPortability. Owner website sufficient to add a small amount of code to your page. After that he may form his own mini-social network, which will have basic opportunities. In doing so accessible registration of users, sending out invitations, viewing gallery of participants, the publication reports. This is added to all applications also support established community OpenSocial. Users of the site, where the module Google Friend Connect, could find their friends in other social networks - Facebook, Google Talk, hi5, orkut, Plaxo. However, after a very short time after starting the service one of the largest social networks - Facebook - refused to work with the system Google Friend Connect. The reason for this decision was the protection of privacy. Staff members in its Facebook blog reported that the method of obtaining information about users, used in Google Friend Connect, contravenes privacy policy Facebook. Worth mentioning that in Facebook especially sensitive to the confidentiality of information about users. Moreover, according to project developers, Google Friend Connect users without the knowledge of the social network Facebook transmits information about them by a third-party developers. Representatives of Google commented that decision Facebook, claiming that users can control at each stage of the movement of your personal information via Google Friend Connect. Draft Google Friend Connect this spring became one of the turns of a similar service aimed at integrating the content of social networks and sharing of user data. Thus, M ySpace launched their technology Data Availability, and soon it joined with its network of Facebook Facebook Connect. Each of the leaders of this market wants to become a center of a new integration of content, not wishing to share their users with competitors. It is clear that Google with its ruler many convenient services, which only just lacks social network, has become particularly undesirable competitor in this market. Clearly this understanding, leading market participants social networks are doing everything to avoid in its terms of Internet giant. But as far as reasonably practicable? ..

The latest news of the review in general has become a complete surprise. U.S. recording companies Association (RIAA) renounced claim to the owners of Russian music online store AllOfMP3.com. The reasons for refraining from further prosecution does not specify. In doing so, given the words official spokesman RIAA, which announced the closure of the site AllOfMP3.com "victory over piracy". I recall the background. Claim to court the Southern District of New York to the administration site AllofMP3.com was filed biggest record labels in late 2006. Among the plaintiffs were the company Warner Bros, Sony BMG, Capital Records and EMI Group. They called AllofMP3.com "notorious black market", which earned $ 30 million a year, providing internet users to download music files without royalties of any reward record labels. In addition to the closure of the site, the company gramzapisi demanded from the administration of AllofMP3.com 1,65 trillion dollars (!), Which corresponds to $ 150 thousand for each illegally posted in the resource composition. Meanwhile, Russian laws do not violate the site. Credits traded music, taking advantage of contracts with organizations for the management of collective rights. Such practices are not considered illegal in Russia, but is treated solely as piracy in the West. Closing believe pirate site called even one of the key conditions for Russia joining the WTO. Nevertheless, in August 2007, Cheremushinsky Moscow court found the former owner AllOfMP3.com innocent. But even in June 2007 site AllOfMP3.com has been closed.

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Internet-2 - high technology somewhere near…

In recent years, development of the Internet has made considerable heights. Curve growth in the number of users worldwide network - eloquent proof. However, talk of further development of the Network falls in the context of extensive: Internet successfully developed and will evolve, however, the effectiveness of the use of its resources constantly decreasing. For scientific purposes, and some tasks, even existing megabitnyh velocities clearly not enough… One of the tasks for next-generation network, is to increase the speed of information transfer up to 10 Gbit/s. And this is just the beginning…

Internet. A brief digression

It all started in the distant 1962, when ARPA research on military applications of computer technology led by Dr. JCR Licklider, who proposed to use for these purposes interaction of government computers.
The main idea of this "experiment" was to build a network of functionally equal nodes, each of which would have some autonomy and would have its own reception blocks transmission of information processing, which would make the network even with sustained significant damage (not forget per year…)
Experiments to combine remote nodes were already in 1965, when computers were connected TX-2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT Lincoln Lab) and Q-32 corporations SDC (System Development Corporation) in Santa Monica. Interestingly, the exchange of packages between them at that time did not occur, the exchange has posimvolno.

In 1967, at a symposium ACM (Association for Computer Machinery) has sounded a plan to create a national network with packet data and are already in 1969, the Ministry of Defense approved the ARPANET (Advanced Research Projects Agency NETwork), as the lead organization for research on computer networks. The first node of the new network was UCLA - Test Center network, and soon it joined a number of leading research institutions in the country (Stanford University, University of Santa Barbara, University of Utah, etc.)

In early 1971, the network was already 15 knots: UCLA, UCSB, SRI, University of Utah, CWRI, BBN, MIT, SDC, RAND, Harvard Lincoln Lab., Stanford, UIU (C), NASA / A, CMU, together host 23.

In 1972, a group of graduate students, led by Stanford University professor Vintonom Kirfom (Vinton Cerf) has developed a number of protocols, turned later in TCP / IP. "I knew that the TCP / IP protocol will become international industrial standard used by millions of people - said V. Kirf in 1994 - this would be more than the 32 level, address space and would watch for high-speed Wednesdays at long delay "(Vinton G. Cerf. The Internet Phenomenon.). It was published specification Telnet (RFC 454). This year there is the first commercial version of UNIX, written by Sy. The success of UNIX surpassed all expectations.
First connect to the network ARPANET "outside" have been implemented in 1973, when the machines are connected to the network from England (University College of London) and Norway (Rogee Radar Establishment).

In 1982, the DCA and ARPA established as the basis for building a network of Internet Protocol (IP) and Trans-mission Control Protocol (TCP) and already on January 1, 1983 Department of Defense announced TCP / IP to their standard.

In 1990, ARPANET had ceased to exist and its functions moved to the NSFNET (National Science Foundation). By the network joined Austria, Belgium, Argentina, Brazil, India, Greece, Ireland, Switzerland, Chile and South Korea.
At CERN (Centre European pour la Recherche Nucleare), Tim Bernes-Lee (Tim Berness-Lee) has developed a World-Wide Web (WWW) - probably the most popular service in the history of the Internet. Naturally, the most popular among users WWW spared Telnet to the network and soon joined Algeria, Lebanon, Niger, Armenia, Bermuda, Burkina Faso, Jamaica, Lithuania, China, Colombia, Morocco, Masau, etc.

It's no secret that today's Internet has significant technical problems, get more from ARPANET:

1) It is not sufficiently large address space, restricted to 32 - bit address. As a consequence - the shortage of IP-addresses.

2) Low productivity and lack of automatic configuration addresses. It's no secret that algorithms fragmentation protocol IPv4 packets are imperfect and do not meet modern requirements: all the matter is that the division of packages routers, inadequately requires a large number of system resources. It turns out that the procedure packet fragmentation, with unreasonably large processing time, consumes more resources intermediate routers.

3) Today's Internet poorly suited for the transmission of audio and video in the mode of on-line. Voice traffic in the transfer of heavily distorted enough to talk about the poor as a transfer, as a result - a small window pischaschee…

4) Failure to implement the transfer of broadcasting over the Internet - all this affects the development of broadcasting on the Net…

5) The fifth paragraph in fact - only the fifth on the list and was sufficiently important, because it comes to the security of network protocols and features client-server interaction. Probably not in vain, there is even an entire classification of security threats Web-server…


In addition to the above, one of the main reasons for the project - Internet-2 is the problem of increasing efficiency in the use of the Internet (the so-called PSP-Problem Solving Potential), which is acute among the research environment: biologists, doctors, physicists, etc. It's no secret that for video in real time, existing capabilities of modern Internet is clearly not enough: a small box with sound smoothly rolling in the figure;), etc.

Internet-2, like the Internet, has created the USA. Actually, the need for a project of this kind have spoken in October 1996, when at a meeting in Chicago brought together representatives from 34 leading universities to seriously discuss vital.

As a result of the meeting - an agreement under which each of the participants in the project annually invests 500 thousand dollars. Already in 1997, became interested in the new project and supported his Bill Clinton, deciding to "merge" Internet-2 with an existing project NGI (Next Generation Internet). A couple of words about the NGI.

Unlike Internet-2 (closed draft), NGI is an open project, which is based on programme design and implementation of new network technologies with more advanced database and high bandwidth. The project was supported at the highest level: 10 October 1996, President Clinton and Vice President Gore have indicated that supported the initiative to establish NGI, which will be based on the latest developments of advanced held in federal agencies. The initiative is primarily aimed at supporting research and development in networking technologies and provide high-speed connections between major research centres dollars. As a technical basis NGI was brought high-speed backbone network vBNS.

It is clear that the use of high-speed channels required to develop instruments of service: data transmission protocols, administration - and such development is actively carried out. In addition, now being developed next-generation applications, serving all the possibilities of high-speed connections (videoconferencing, telemedicine, remote control physical experiments).

What is the Internet-2?

Internet-2 consists of so-called nodes GigaPoPs (gigabit-capacity points of presence). The number of such outlets already passes for 30 and constantly growing. GigaPoPs connected between a main highway - Internet2 Backbone Networks. These core points through fiber (the total length of optical fiber is 13 000 miles) connected universities, research centres and other agencies involved in the program. The total highway (it is the primary) is based on fibre-optic backbone network Abilene, which is estimated to cost 500 million dollars.

Abilene Network

The network was established in 1999, whereas stronghold channel network Abilene had a capacity 2.5 Gb / s. and intended for research on advanced networking technologies and programs. The name "Abilene" comes from a railway, tunnel in 1860 - years of near the town of Abilene in the state of Kansas. The network brings together more than 230 American universities, research centers and other institutions and that is something like the manager of the center, so-called The Network Operations Center (NOC), located on the territory of Indiana University. The network is funded by contributions of participants.

Initially, the overall line was developed by the order of University Corporation for UCAID (Advanced Internet Development). In the establishment of a network involved giants such as Cisco Systems, Qwest Communications, Nortel Networks and Indiana University.

The main feature of today Abilene Network, is the high speed data transmission. As already stated in the beginning, the rate was 2.5 Gbit / sec. In 2003 began the transition to standard OC-192c, with a rated speed of 10 Gb / s. The transition was completed on February 4, 2004 and is now a real speed is about 6-10 Gbit / sec. Routing of data packets carrying out special high-performance routers. Currently, a network jointly supported by Internet2 consortium, the University of Indiana, as well as companies "Qwest Communications", "Nortel Networks" and "Juniper Networks".

It is clear that the transition to new high-speed data transmission channels demanded adequate development of new routing protocols. One of the protocols Serving Set new generation, will be changed protocol IP: in the new IP removed the restriction on the number of IP-addresses. Modifying Protocol IP Version 4 (IPv4) was called IPv6 (IP version 6). The new protocol used 128 - Addressing bit instead of 32 - bit, and not difficult to estimate that the number theoretically connected to the network devices will now run 38 degrees… new protocol still good and that provides an opportunity to broadcast data transmission, the so-called multicast. What gives this technology? It is known that one channel for the transmission of sound in a radio broadcast via the Internet, spent some amount of bandwidth. Multiply this value by the number of users, is produced substantial "load" network. Under multicast, there is only one channel the flow of data (video, audio, etc.) on the general channel of communication for several clients. This is achieved by increasing the capacity of the network with all its consequences. By pluses include a new protocol and its great security and safety, and a new level of "quality" transmitted packages that provide a continuous adherence to the parameters of the network bandwidth and time carrying packages.

With regard to the compatibility of the "old" and "new" Internet, it is all simple: in the space of Internet 2 (IPv6) can see the Internet (IPv 4), but not vice versa. Although, in which case there is one of the ways to "look there": if one of the gateways IPv4/IPv6, graciously offered, for example, Hurricane Electric's IPv6 Tunnel Broker, then everything is possible ... To do so, just enough nothing: it is necessary to register to include in their support IPv6-stack and specially configured tunneling traffic. As for the applications of new generation network, then today there are a number of projects which are operating successfully in the new environment. Commenting on some of these details.

ResearchChannel - interesting project, supported by several universities, the main objective of which is to promote high-quality video and radio broadcasts via the Internet. Features: viewing on-line videos, news, the establishment of direct communication and interactive bridge between universities.

Berkeley Internet Broadcasting System (BIBS) - represents an interactive television system for distance learning. Originally designed for students of Berkeley. It supports a lot of concurrent programs, including video / audio and data flow. The system allows remotely conduct lectures, with a large number of users simultaneously.

Molecular Interactive Calloborative Environment (MICE) - Wednesday is a visualization of complex targeted for molecular analysis. The system allows for the on-line research to visualize different molecular mechanisms. The project - engine for Java3D.

Cave5D - is an electronic visualization lab. Allows you to remotely receive continuous visualization of different processes.

The Virtual Cell - emulates the environment in which students are studying features of the functioning of cells. Interaction - in real time.

Tele-immersion - is a tool for development of a virtual environment of space. Widely
used for video and teleconferencing.

The Informedia Digital Video Library - learning system that provides rich opportunities for education, information and entertainment purposes. The system can automatically detect video, sound, pictures.

As you can see, the prospects for more than impressive. Downloading music and movies with fantastic speeds, with the effect of live video presence online interaction project participants - all are feasible. Not far away, and interactive Counter Strike on the Internet;).

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