Thursday, April 29, 2010

Success IT-industry and attack from the east.

According to estimates analyst firm Gartner, worldwide PC sales in a quarter of 2010 increased by 27.4% to 84.3 million units. This means that the results of the quarter exceeded even the most optimistic forecasts. And, it's interesting - personalok sales grew not only in developing countries (as expected), but also in developed countries, where users have changed your PC for the transition to Windows 7.

Previously it was thought that the PC market will grow by 22%, mainly due to developing countries. However, in developed markets much earlier than expected, revealed a tendency to repleysmentu - replacing old PCs with new ones. The impetus for repleysmentu became, in particular, the launch of Windows 7. Now, Gartner analyst Mikako Kitagawa said that the influence of the G-PC sales will be felt until early 2011-th.

With regard to specific PC manufacturers, the market leader is HP with a share of 18.2%. Second - Acer c 14.2%, third - Dell with 12.1%. Close to the first three crept Chinese Lenovo.

PC Market really recovers very briskly - but this, unfortunately, can not be said about the server market. It is understandable: personalki - consumer product, and servers - infrastructure. Infrastructure is always updated slower consumer segment. According to IDC, in 2010 server market (for money) will grow by 2.4%. In general, analysts ascertain the demand for cheaper system standard architecture, and predicted market recovery in the coming years.

But the market will rise slowly: in the period from 2009 to 2014 the average annual revenue growth will be only 0.3%, while the volume of supply - 4.9%. Indicator pre-crisis 2007 ($19 billion) market will not be soon.

According to experts, now the biggest prospects - with blade servers. From 2009 till 2014 the first annual average growth of this segment was 13.9% in value and 20.5% in quantitative terms. And already in 2014 blade system will take 28.5% of the server market in money and 33% in numerical terms.

I recall that in 2009 a monetary server market sank 26.4% - a record drop in history - to $12.8 billion, with supplies of servers fell by 23.6% - up to 2 million units.

The Chinese company Tencent Holdings unexpectedly made a record investment in the Web - it has over $300 million bought the stake in the largest Russian Internet fund Digital Sky Technologies (DST). Now Tencent receives 10.26% of preferred shares of DST and 0.51% of voting shares, as well as the right to nominate one candidate to the Board of Directors of the Fund. To date, Tencent investment in DST - the largest financial investment in Runet.

In the unanimous opinion of market participants, the Chinese Internet entrepreneurs intend to obtain at least partial control of the successful Internet company owned by DST. President of the Chinese company, Liu, Martin said that the deal with DST needs Tencent, "to benefit from the rapidly growing Internet market in Russia". In turn, DST will be able to use the technical and business expertise Tencent to strengthen its leading position in Russia.

Independent Russian experts believe that the decision Tencent enter into the shareholders DST influenced the recent deal to acquire manufacturer online games Astrum Online Entertainment. Tencent earns the big money in online games in China. In Russia, this market is growing rapidly and has enormous potential.

I must say that even in 2008, the U.S. government, Germany, France and some other developed countries have not emphasized is quietly searching for ways of how to restrict Chinese investment in their economies. Reason is simple: fast wealthy Podnebesnya hands of their businesses literally "on top" is buying the European and American manufacturing, paying particular attention to is the sphere of high technologies. That is modern China is not only earns sewing T-shirts "Guchi" and sneakers "Addidass", but quickly takes control of global IT, biotechnology, telecommunications, energy technologies, etc.

And the money for total purchase of such assets the Chinese have. China's GDP in one quarter of this year grew by 11.9%, showing a record pace over the past three years - reported by the State Statistical Bureau of China. The country's economy could quickly recover from the sharp decline in exports in the crisis of 2009 m and thanks to anti-crisis package state, as well as increased lending to accelerate GDP growth.

In the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believe that in 2010 the economy will grow by a record 16%, if the incentive program is not minimized. For comparison: in 2008 China's economy grew in volume by 9%.

For reference: a program to stimulate the economy valued at $585 billion was accepted by the Chinese government to combat the effects of the economic crisis. Since the State has tried to soften the effect of a sharp fall in export volumes. However, despite this decline, by the end of 2009, China became the largest exporter in the world, overtaking Germany. In the 1 quarter of 2010 China increased its exports by 29%.

Now on economic terms, China has ranked third in the world after USA and Japan. But this year the Chinese economy can bypass the Japanese. According to the results of 2009, Japan's GDP totaled $5.1 trillion, while China's GDP - $4.9 trillion.

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It seems carefree existence torrents and sharing services comes to an end. And the question here is not even on nabivshem nauseam The Pirate Bay. This year, the torrent trackers were persecuted all over the world - even in countries where nothing like this has never happened - for example, in Russia. But the most unpleasant - fighters for copyrights launched a massive attack on users of torrents, presenting the tens of thousands of lawsuits. Downloading files with torrents? Then they come to you!

Start hostilities

"Full-scale hostilities" began in late 2009. In November worn harassment The Pirate Bay tracker is closed and moved to the technology ligament (magnet-links + DHT). At the same time the largest torrent tracker Mininova court decision had to be removed from its database all the illegal content. Creator torrent tracker isoHunt judged by threatening to jail. Anti-piracy group BREIN of the Netherlands announced that during 2009 she was able through the courts to close 393 torrent tracker. But the volume of traffic pirated content decreased towards the end of the year is very small - in fact, experts estimate that only existed in the world of 30 thousand to 50 thousand torrent trackers.

Shooting windows

February 16 this year, the investigation department of Chertanovskaya district of the Moscow City Prosecutor's Office decided to suspend the domain delegation The formal reason - a case that occurred just before. Then, prosecutors detained in Moscow, a young computer geeks, who tried to sell to customers (figurehead, as it turned out) a pirated copy of the package Autodesk AutoCAD 2009. The young man asked for the installation of "pirates" of 1.500 rubles, while the official cost of licenses - more than 100 thousand Russian rubles. During the interrogation, the young man admitted that he downloaded the hacked distro with

torrent trackersFeb. 19 at the site of the Investigative Committee at the Prosecutor's Office (UPC), Russia appeared official announcement: " was closed under a criminal investigation of illegal use of copyright instituted for the crime under Article 146 of the Criminal Code. Aggrieved parties in the case are companies 1C and Autodesk. [...] According to the results of the preliminary investigation the prosecutor's office concluded that the torrent tracker repeatedly in large and very large amount of infringing the copyrights of companies-software developers. " Formally was closed "at the time of the preliminary investigation."

For Russia this is a precedent. Blogosphere literally exploded on the protection were thrown all forces, including an open letter to the president asking to restore the domain delegation. Under the treatment the first day signed by more than 12 thousand people.

It seems that the least experienced administration A few hours after the closure of service fully started work on a new address This was reported in a special mailing list, and 10 million users of the BitTorrent tracker again have access to free software, music and movies.

Soon, a similar attack law enforcers held in respect RGhost Just arrived to remove the server - and embarrassed to learn that these servers a lot, and take out all at once just physically impossible. It was then decided to seal them. However, in the near future and this RGhost regained its work.

A March 10 in Russia Expert Council Culture Ministry rejected the draft amendments to the Civil Code, providing for sanctions for ISPs for providing access to illegal content. Actually, the Russian Code of Administrative Offences and the Criminal Code now allows to prosecute providers, through a network which will download illegal content. But for this we must prove that the provider condone the offense with intent, and the first to warn him. And access to the resources of counterfeit content can be blocked only by court.

However, supporters rejoice in the free exchange of information was too early.

Carpet bombing

Failing to achieve the desired result of the attack on and, Internal Affairs of Moscow has decided to transfer the focus of attack on ordinary users who download free pirated content with the torrent of resources. At a press conference on 24 March, the Chief Economic Crimes Division of Internal Affairs of Moscow Nikolay Nazimok said: "The web dangerous that form a network of networks. Downloading movies from the resource, you become distributors of these products to other users.

However, Russian law enforcers while clearly quite weak imagine how they will pursue the simple users of torrents. But the model of such a mass attack on users of torrents already piloted in the United States. Organization US Copyright Group (represents the interests of independent film producers) filed charges against 20 thousand direct American users sharing services. Interestingly, all of them were charged with illegal distribution of all five films. And not some blockbusters (as you would expect), but low-budget movies, which you are unlikely to go to the cinema. This "Steam Experiment", "Uncross the Stars", "Gray Man", "Call of the Wild 3D" and "Far Cry".

Each of the 20 thousand respondents were presented with five statements of claim - for each of the tapes. Plaintiffs need to remove from the PC illegal copies of downloaded movies and cover court costs. And in the case of a court order - to pay compensation producers. In addition, lawyers US Copyright Group promised in case of successful completion of 20 thousand direct proceedings in the courts of claims relating to the other five films, against the other 30 thousand users.

Observers have noted that this is more like a kind of rehearsal or, rather, on developing the technology of legal prosecution (I should say - of terror) users of torrent trackers. Here, however, raises some critical issues. For example, this: suits brought against individual users. But where does US Copyright Group of private data? Are they all true? How can I prove that these people downloaded and distributed pirated media content?

According to U.S. media, experts US Copyright Group to identify users, pirates have used technology developed by German company GuardaLey IT. It allows you to track the flow of data and records the IP-address file-sharing participants. Yet until now the practice of determining the user name by IP-address is quite questionable. In general, it comes in this case the matter to court and how it can result - is completely unclear.

Clearly more. The new strategy of fighters with torrents - the legal prosecution of users of these services.


Trying to avoid reprisals, some Internet companies themselves are beginning to act in a manner like the defenders of copyright. For example, the popular file-hosting service RapidShare has recently started to close the accounts of users who laid out and download pirated content. Formally, this happens as a result of violations of the rules of resource utilization.

This is very disturbing news just because RapidShare - one of the largest repositories of files on the web. Indeed, many users often use it for posting content that is copyrighted - music, movies, computer games and software. Accordingly, against RapidShare has repeatedly been allegations of copyright infringement. And some courts have lost the file hosting. But until now to volunteer hunting is not reached.


Finally give opinions Magnus Eriksson - founder Piratbyran, a Swedish NGO, which created The Pirate Bay:

- Copyright and deception associated with this concept and created a battle front, where the conflict takes place at various levels. My prediction: This fight would go beyond the two current members - rights holders and file-sharing participants. For example, a conflict with Google Books, or the question of how to divide the money, which brings kollaboratsionnye projects - all conflicts in the area of copyright. Now there are so many opportunities for file sharing, that this issue will not be unambiguously resolved in the near future.

Cheapest music online store in the USA.